Jan Ruzicka vs Michal Sokol 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12416479

Played Aug 13Finished

Jan Ruzicka

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1171159111012911

Michal Sokol

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jan Ruzicka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Michal Sokol below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 54.0%

96 points played in total.

H2H Jan Ruzicka 3–2 Michal Sokol Michal Sokol has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 3–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 22:52

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Ruzicka

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-2 in 5

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Ruzicka 1612 vs Sokol 1506

Ruzicka

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Ruzicka 40% vs Sokol 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ruzicka 70% vs Sokol 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Ruzicka +1 · Sokol -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRuzicka 1.73 / Sokol 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Ruzicka)+1.0pp

TT Cup · #12416479

Ruzicka1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 70 of 120

Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it86% 55 of 64

Sokol2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

67%takes the first set · 6 of 9

As underdog38% won 8 of 21

Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14

Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeRuzicka3wins

AwaySokol2wins

2 of 5 to a deciderRuzicka leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRuzicka50%2 of 4

AwaySokoln = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ruzicka4Sokol1n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5

S2Ruzicka2Sokol3n = 5Sokol took 3 of 5

S3Ruzicka3Sokol2n = 5Ruzicka took 3 of 5

S4Ruzicka2Sokol2n = 4split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away120%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricRuzickaSokolR − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.238.4+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRuzickaSokolBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 364 vs 53 / 10250.8%52%185 / 364 vs 53 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Ruzicka 1.73/Sokol 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.7%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Sokol won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LApr 7 · 21:10J. Ruzicka—11721182M. Sokol—911115113

WApr 7 · 19:05J. Ruzicka—13611113M. Sokol—1111621

WFeb 17 · 20:05J. Ruzicka—811114133M. Sokol—119611112

WFeb 3 · 22:15J. Ruzicka—1511113M. Sokol—13780

LFeb 3 · 20:05J. Ruzicka—1197101M. Sokol—51111123

J. Ruzicka10

WSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113 WSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113 WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123 LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113 WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472 LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143 WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101 WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670 LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791 LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153

M. Sokol10

LAug 23 · 21:05M. Sokol—371181M. Flesar—11119113 LAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113 WAug 23 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401111113M. Flesar2.755870 LAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113 LAug 16 · 21:44M. Sokol1.405890M. Chmelicek2.751111113 WAug 16 · 20:05M. Sokol2.00871111113L. Vosyka1.7311116482 LAug 16 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401191071J. Kabelka2.7571112113 WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181 LAug 13 · 13:33M. Holub1.671111113M. Sokol2.106640 WAug 13 · 12:35M. Sokol1.501111113M. Flesar2.507640

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