TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12423555
Played Aug 13Finished
Matej Holub
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116114––––
Michal Sokol
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Michal Sokol below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4
49 points played in total.
H2H Matej Holub 1–0 Michal Sokol Michal Sokol has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokol form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.67 / Sokol 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Holub)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12423555
Holub1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 27 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Sokol2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHolub1wins
AwaySokol0wins
Holub leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHolubSokolH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.034.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubSokolBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 163 vs 55 / 10457.1%52.9%93 / 163 vs 55 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.67/Sokol 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 10:35M. Holub—12117113M. Sokol—1071161
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482
M. Sokol10
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Sokol—371181M. Flesar—11119113LAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113WAug 23 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401111113M. Flesar2.755870LAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113LAug 16 · 21:44M. Sokol1.405890M. Chmelicek2.751111113WAug 16 · 20:05M. Sokol2.00871111113L. Vosyka1.7311116482LAug 16 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401191071J. Kabelka2.7571112113WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181WAug 13 · 12:35M. Sokol1.501111113M. Flesar2.507640WAug 13 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73111191092M. Sokol2.00751112113
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