TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12340881
Played Jul 31Finished
Martin Jirasek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1157111412114––
Matej Holub
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Jirasek above · Matej Holub below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Jirasek 1–2 Matej Holub Martin Jirasek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirasek 1.91 / Holub 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holub)+2.3pp
TT Cup · #12340881
Jirasek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Holub1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 25 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJirasek1wins
AwayHolub2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHolub leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirasek1Holub2n = 3Holub took 2 of 3
S2Jirasek1Holub2n = 3Holub took 2 of 3
S3Jirasek0Holub3n = 3Holub took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricJirasekHolubJ − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.037.0−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirasekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 284 vs 77 / 13850%55.8%142 / 284 vs 77 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubJirasek 1.91/Holub 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jirasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 31 · 15:05M. Jirasek—111179113M. Holub—94111162
LJul 27 · 14:05M. Jirasek—7590M. Holub—1111113
LMay 1 · 16:05M. Jirasek—121100M. Holub—1411123
M. Jirasek10
LAug 1 · 13:40M. Jirasek—11711792J. Lovl—511411113LAug 1 · 12:35R. Fitl1.8311118113M. Jirasek1.83991151WAug 1 · 11:35M. Jirasek2.6311811113D. Hons1.44711851WAug 1 · 10:05J. Lovl1.619190M. Jirasek2.201111113LJul 31 · 16:35M. Jirasek1.919880R. Fitl1.801111113WJul 31 · 15:05M. Holub1.5094111162M. Jirasek2.50111179113WJul 31 · 14:35P. Chvatal1.309118101M. Jirasek3.4011611123WJul 28 · 21:35M. Jirasek2.2812119123R. Vosyka1.5110811101WJul 28 · 20:35M. Flesar1.809980M. Jirasek1.911111113WJul 28 · 19:35M. Jirasek1.731113163M. Sokol2.00611140
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113LJul 31 · 15:05M. Holub1.5094111162M. Jirasek2.50111179113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.