TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12329902
Played Jul 30Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121191012115––
Filip Marat
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 84 set 4, 11-5
84 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 3–3 Filip Marat Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marat form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.52 / Marat 2.35
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Moravec)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12329902
Moravec1.52
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 26 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Marat2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 59 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back37% 29 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back22% 9 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMoravec3wins
AwayMarat3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec66.7%2 of 3
AwayMarat66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Marat3n = 6split evenly
S2Moravec2Marat4n = 6Marat took 4 of 6
S3Moravec3Marat3n = 6split evenly
S4Moravec3Marat0n = 3Moravec took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricMoravecMaratMoravec − MaratBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.334.7+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 173 vs 237 / 53749.1%44.1%85 / 173 vs 237 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.52/Marat 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 30 · 06:55P. Moravec—81111113F. Marat—117491
LJul 2 · 17:20P. Moravec—116101582F. Marat—8111213113
LJul 2 · 16:50P. Moravec—7670F. Marat—1111113
WSep 5 · 19:25P. Moravec—11911133F. Marat—4114111
LJan 16 · 21:20P. Moravec—61170F. Marat—1113113
WJan 14 · 17:20P. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—7890
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113
F. Marat10
LAug 19 · 14:35L. Moravec1.441111123F. Marat2.6388100LAug 19 · 13:25F. Marat2.501161081L. Moravec1.5081112113WAug 19 · 11:55M. Filipek2.101411111032F. Marat1.671281312113WAug 19 · 11:25R. Jamrich1.83111581182F. Marat1.831313117113LJul 31 · 10:24F. Marat1.901110141172M. Tlusty1.80512167113WJul 31 · 09:25M. Filipek2.209540F. Marat1.611111113WJul 31 · 08:25F. Marat1.9111117113A. Kral1.80581131LJul 31 · 06:55M. Tlusty1.8091112133F. Marat1.9111510111WJul 30 · 08:55F. Marat1.839101311113A. Kral1.83111211652WJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852
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