TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457492
Played Aug 19Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131513811117811
Filip Marat
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Marat to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Filip Marat at 58.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 15–15 Filip Marat Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Marat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1340 vs Marat 1477
Marat
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 0% vs Marat 40%
Marat
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 10% vs Marat 60%
Marat
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -5 · Marat -1
Jamrich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Marat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marat form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.83 / Marat 1.83
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Marat)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12457492
Jamrich1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Marat1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJamrich4wins
AwayMarat6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderMarat leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich60%3 of 5
AwayMarat80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich5Marat5n = 10split evenly
S2Jamrich4Marat6n = 10Marat took 6 of 10
S3Jamrich6Marat4n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Jamrich2Marat7n = 9Marat took 7 of 9
S5Jamrich4Marat4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJamrichMaratJ − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.444.5+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 285 vs 238 / 53944.6%44.2%127 / 285 vs 238 / 539Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaratJamrich 1.83/Marat 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Marat · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 11:25R. Jamrich—111581182F. Marat—1313117113
WJul 22 · 14:14R. Jamrich—139118123F. Marat—1111811102
LJul 22 · 12:25R. Jamrich—11811882F. Marat—411711113
LApr 7 · 17:24R. Jamrich—87111192F. Marat—111198113
LApr 7 · 16:20R. Jamrich—8411141F. Marat—11119163
WMar 12 · 15:05R. Jamrich—1111810113F. Marat—83111242
WMar 12 · 12:25R. Jamrich—911115113F. Marat—11381132
LMar 11 · 13:55R. Jamrich—1111109102F. Marat—491211123
WFeb 27 · 15:05R. Jamrich—119119113F. Marat—61191162
LFeb 27 · 12:55R. Jamrich—6940F. Marat—1111113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113
F. Marat10
LAug 19 · 14:35L. Moravec1.441111123F. Marat2.6388100LAug 19 · 13:25F. Marat2.501161081L. Moravec1.5081112113WAug 19 · 11:55M. Filipek2.101411111032F. Marat1.671281312113LJul 31 · 10:24F. Marat1.901110141172M. Tlusty1.80512167113WJul 31 · 09:25M. Filipek2.209540F. Marat1.611111113WJul 31 · 08:25F. Marat1.9111117113A. Kral1.80581131LJul 31 · 06:55M. Tlusty1.8091112133F. Marat1.9111510111LJul 30 · 10:24P. Moravec1.52141110113F. Marat2.351291251WJul 30 · 08:55F. Marat1.839101311113A. Kral1.83111211652WJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852
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