TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12460635
Played Aug 19Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181210––––
Filip Marat
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10
60 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 11–7 Filip Marat Filip Marat has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marat form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Marat 2.63
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Moravec)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12460635
Moravec1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 28 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Marat2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 59 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back39% 30 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back23% 9 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec7wins
AwayMarat3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec83.3%5 of 6
AwayMarat50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Marat4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec9Marat1n = 10Moravec took 9 of 10
S3Moravec7Marat3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Moravec3Marat2n = 5Moravec took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecMaratMoravec − MaratBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.828.6+7.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 241 vs 239 / 54141.1%44.2%99 / 241 vs 239 / 541Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Marat 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 13:25L. Moravec—81112113F. Marat—1161081
WJul 27 · 10:55L. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—2750
LJun 2 · 12:25L. Moravec—1175121F. Marat—31111143
WMar 12 · 13:55L. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—6980
WMar 11 · 12:25L. Moravec—51111113F. Marat—115991
WFeb 27 · 12:25L. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—5950
LDec 4 · 11:00L. Moravec—811871F. Marat—11311113
WDec 4 · 09:55L. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—9350
WDec 2 · 11:05L. Moravec—1111113F. Marat—7590
LDec 2 · 07:55L. Moravec—111231172F. Marat—1310113113
L. Moravec10
LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113WAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:20J. Sebl2.25461191L. Moravec1.5711119113LAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.61131050L. Moravec2.201512113
F. Marat10
LAug 19 · 13:25F. Marat2.501161081L. Moravec1.5081112113WAug 19 · 11:55M. Filipek2.101411111032F. Marat1.671281312113WAug 19 · 11:25R. Jamrich1.83111581182F. Marat1.831313117113LJul 31 · 10:24F. Marat1.901110141172M. Tlusty1.80512167113WJul 31 · 09:25M. Filipek2.209540F. Marat1.611111113WJul 31 · 08:25F. Marat1.9111117113A. Kral1.80581131LJul 31 · 06:55M. Tlusty1.8091112133F. Marat1.9111510111LJul 30 · 10:24P. Moravec1.52141110113F. Marat2.351291251WJul 30 · 08:55F. Marat1.839101311113A. Kral1.83111211652WJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852
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