TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12338868
Played Jul 31Finished
Filip Marat
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11510121416117711
Milan Tlusty
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingFilip Marat above · Milan Tlusty below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11
104 points played in total.
H2H Filip Marat 10–13 Milan Tlusty Filip Marat has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tlusty)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarat 1.90 / Tlusty 1.80
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Tlusty)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12338868
Marat1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 60 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back37% 30 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back21% 9 of 42
Tlusty1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 104 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 68 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarat3wins
AwayTlusty7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTlusty leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarat20%1 of 5
AwayTlusty60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marat5Tlusty5n = 10split evenly
S2Marat4Tlusty6n = 10Tlusty took 6 of 10
S3Marat7Tlusty3n = 10Marat took 7 of 10
S4Marat1Tlusty9n = 10Tlusty took 9 of 10
S5Marat3Tlusty4n = 7Tlusty took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaratTlustyM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.548.1−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaratTlustyBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 541 vs 287 / 54344.2%52.9%239 / 541 vs 287 / 543Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TlustyMarat 1.90/Tlusty 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Tlusty · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tlusty won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 06:55F. Marat—11510111M. Tlusty—91112133
LJul 21 · 11:20F. Marat—51111982M. Tlusty—117611113
LJul 5 · 19:55F. Marat—91213662M. Tlusty—11101111113
LJun 27 · 14:30F. Marat—11111671M. Tlusty—81318113
WJun 27 · 12:55F. Marat—711118113M. Tlusty—11581182
LJun 14 · 14:25F. Marat—12711872M. Tlusty—1011611113
LJun 14 · 10:55F. Marat—101115652M. Tlusty—1291311113
WJun 9 · 08:25F. Marat—1461111113M. Tlusty—16116872
WApr 18 · 14:29F. Marat—1181311113M. Tlusty—911111362
LApr 18 · 10:55F. Marat—118981M. Tlusty—71111113
F. Marat10
LAug 19 · 14:35L. Moravec1.441111123F. Marat2.6388100LAug 19 · 13:25F. Marat2.501161081L. Moravec1.5081112113WAug 19 · 11:55M. Filipek2.101411111032F. Marat1.671281312113WAug 19 · 11:25R. Jamrich1.83111581182F. Marat1.831313117113WJul 31 · 09:25M. Filipek2.209540F. Marat1.611111113WJul 31 · 08:25F. Marat1.9111117113A. Kral1.80581131LJul 31 · 06:55M. Tlusty1.8091112133F. Marat1.9111510111LJul 30 · 10:24P. Moravec1.52141110113F. Marat2.351291251WJul 30 · 08:55F. Marat1.839101311113A. Kral1.83111211652WJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852
M. Tlusty10
WAug 5 · 10:29M. Filipek2.251013991M. Tlusty1.57121111113LAug 5 · 09:25M. Filipek2.63111111123M. Tlusty1.441385101WAug 5 · 08:25M. Tlusty1.7311811113R. Jamrich2.00611981WAug 5 · 06:55A. Kral3.00135341M. Tlusty1.36111111113WAug 4 · 14:00D. Sykora1.504119101M. Tlusty2.5011711123LAug 4 · 12:20D. Sykora1.531111113M. Tlusty2.385570WAug 4 · 11:50A. Rek1.4411781142M. Tlusty2.63711115113WAug 4 · 10:50M. Tlusty3.40211311113O. Varecka1.3011311972WAug 3 · 18:00J. Dvorak1.855780M. Tlusty1.851111113WJul 31 · 06:55M. Tlusty1.8091112133F. Marat1.9111510111
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