TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Luis Kraus vs Sergio Carrillo 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Jun 29Finished
Luis Kraus
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711118811––
Sergio Carrillo
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–4Last 7Lost last 3
How it is goingLuis Kraus above · Sergio Carrillo below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Luis Kraus 0–1 Sergio Carrillo Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kraus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (0%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraus 1.36 / Carrillo 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kraus)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12118993
Kraus1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Carrillo3.00
43%won 3 of 7 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKraus0wins
AwayCarrillo1wins
Carrillo leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrausCarrilloK − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.041.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrausCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 211 vs 2 / 736%28.6%76 / 211 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match1.51.1per matchAvg pointsper match31.025.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrausKraus 1.36/Carrillo 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Kraus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Carrillo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 29 · 07:30L. Kraus31571181S. Carrillo4111118113
L. Kraus10
WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113
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