TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12169483
Played Jul 6Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
1.52
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11133111210811––
Tobias Saltzer
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
11133111210811––
H2H Sergio Carrillo 0–1 Tobias Saltzer Sergio Carrillo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (20%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 1.52 / Saltzer 2.30
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Carrillo)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12169483
Carrillo1.52
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Saltzer2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCarrillo0wins
AwaySaltzer1wins
Saltzer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCarrilloSaltzerC − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.045.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloSaltzerBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 14 vs 39 / 8128.6%48.2%4 / 14 vs 39 / 81Avg sets wonper match1.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match31.534.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloCarrillo 1.52/Saltzer 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Saltzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo—1131281T. Saltzer—131110113
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
T. Saltzer10
LAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181LAug 6 · 17:00K. Fadeev—1211113T. Saltzer—10720LAug 6 · 15:30T. Saltzer—9660K. Zimmermann—1111113WAug 6 · 13:00T. Saltzer—1211113T. Freund—10890LAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113WAug 6 · 07:30D. Zech1.3011911892T. Saltzer3.20711811113WJul 7 · 10:40K. Fadeev—115651T. Saltzer—91111113LJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.14112931T. Saltzer4.7091111113
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