TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12167820
Played Jul 6Finished
Sergio Carrillo
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171210119––
Sven Happek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingSergio Carrillo above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9
78 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Happek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrillo 2.20 / Happek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Happek)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12167820
Carrillo2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Happek1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarrilloHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 54 / 17320%31.2%2 / 10 vs 54 / 173Avg sets wonper match1.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match27.832.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HappekCarrillo 2.20/Happek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Happek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Carrillo won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113LJun 29 · 13:00S. Carrillo1.5726110A. Itagaki2.251111133
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
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