TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12357983
Played Aug 6Finished
Alberto Mino
Home
1.04
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115114113––
Sven Happek
Away
9.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeAlberto Mino to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlberto Mino above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 64 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Alberto Mino at 72.6%
64 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Mino
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mino 1866 vs Happek 1184
Mino
Correct
both rated, 681 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mino 80% vs Happek 0%
Mino
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mino 90% vs Happek 10%
Mino
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mino +4 · Happek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Mino) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (0%) is below what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMino 1.04 / Happek 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Mino)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12357983
Mino1.04
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Happek9.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMinoHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 22 vs 52 / 17477.3%29.9%17 / 22 vs 52 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.61.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.931.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MinoMino 1.04/Happek 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Mino · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mino won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Mino10
LSep 3 · 06:10A. Mino3.403790F. Bourrassaud1.301111113WSep 2 · 12:10A. Shulaybi4.33611111062A. Mino1.20117412113WSep 2 · 06:15D. Shi—6450A. Mino—1111113LAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113WAug 26 · 10:20P. Dziuba2.6311671192A. Mino1.44611119113WAug 25 · 09:45A. Mino2.201111711113J. Skalda1.5713411972LAug 24 · 14:00A. Mino1.364820Y. Yu3.001111113WAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622WAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530WAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113WJul 27 · 12:30S. Happek1.871111113N. Kizakisz1.838420
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