TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13066025
Played Sep 3Finished
Alberto Mino
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711911––––
Florian Bourrassaud
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:51 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeFlorian Bourrassaud to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlberto Mino above · Florian Bourrassaud below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Florian Bourrassaud at 72.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Alberto Mino 0–1 Florian Bourrassaud Alberto Mino has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:51What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Bourrassaud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Mino 80% vs Bourrassaud 60%
Mino
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mino 80% vs Bourrassaud 60%
Mino
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mino +2 · Bourrassaud -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bourrassaud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bourrassaud form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMino 3.40 / Bourrassaud 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bourrassaud)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13066025
Mino3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Bourrassaud1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMino0wins
AwayBourrassaud1wins
Bourrassaud leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMinoBourrassaudM − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMinoBourrassaudBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BourrassaudMino 3.40/Bourrassaud 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Bourrassaud · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bourrassaud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 3 · 06:10A. Mino—3790F. Bourrassaud—1111113
A. Mino10
WSep 2 · 12:10A. Shulaybi4.33611111062A. Mino1.20117412113WSep 2 · 06:15D. Shi—6450A. Mino—1111113LAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113WAug 26 · 10:20P. Dziuba2.6311671192A. Mino1.44611119113WAug 25 · 09:45A. Mino2.201111711113J. Skalda1.5713411972LAug 24 · 14:00A. Mino1.364820Y. Yu3.001111113WAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622WAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530WAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181WAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822
F. Bourrassaud10
LSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100LAug 6 · 12:25F. Bourrassaud1.577950J. Choi2.251111113LJul 28 · 06:45E. Tikhonov1.5712912113F. Bourrassaud2.2510111091WJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:20F. Bourrassaud1.441371111113D. Vinogradov2.6315118552WJul 26 · 07:55F. Bourrassaud1.67119116113Y. Lim2.1091191142LJun 16 · 11:10F. Bourrassaud—91090A. Kurmangaliyev—1112113LJun 3 · 15:35F. Bourrassaud2.505740G. Park1.501111113WJun 3 · 10:20F. Bourrassaud1.221111133G. Gomez4.0093110WJun 2 · 11:55F. Bourrassaud1.131111113A. Valuch5.503720
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