TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305196
Played Jul 27Finished
Sven Happek
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114112––––
Nikolaosz Kizakisz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeNikolaosz Kizakisz to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
118114112––––
H2H Sven Happek 1–0 Nikolaosz Kizakisz Nikolaosz Kizakisz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Kizakisz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Happek 1192 vs Kizakisz 1257
Kizakisz
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Happek 20% vs Kizakisz 0%
Happek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Happek 10% vs Kizakisz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Happek -3 · Kizakisz -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Happek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizakisz form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHappek 1.87 / Kizakisz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Happek)+4.5pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305196
Happek1.87
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Kizakisz1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHappek1wins
AwayKizakisz0wins
Happek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHappekKizakiszH − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.033.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHappekKizakiszBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 166 vs 8 / 3930.7%20.5%51 / 166 vs 8 / 39Avg sets wonper match1.41.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.130.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HappekHappek 1.87/Kizakisz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Happek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Happek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WDec 15 · 17:00S. Happek—101112113N. Kizakisz—1251061
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
N. Kizakisz10
LAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113WAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113WAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113WAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida1.40111181002N. Kizakisz2.65791112113LAug 20 · 10:00M. Danzer—11511113N. Kizakisz—411371LAug 20 · 06:30E. Huzsvar1.0711117113N. Kizakisz6.25581151LAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120LAug 13 · 17:30L. Qiu—1111113N. Kizakisz—7350
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