TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12469374
Played Aug 21Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118511911911––
Nikolaosz Kizakisz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikolaosz Kizakisz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118511911911––
H2H Siddharta Almeida 0–1 Nikolaosz Kizakisz Siddharta Almeida has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:26What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Kizakisz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1554 vs Kizakisz 1322
Almeida
Wrong
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 80% vs Kizakisz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 60% vs Kizakisz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida +3 · Kizakisz +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Almeida) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizakisz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 1.87 / Kizakisz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Almeida)+4.5pp
Challenger Series TT · #12469374
Almeida1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kizakisz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAlmeida0wins
AwayKizakisz1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKizakisz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAlmeidaKizakiszA − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.050.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaKizakiszBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 6 vs 14 / 5683.3%25%5 / 6 vs 14 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.81.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.829.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlmeidaAlmeida 1.87/Kizakisz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Almeida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kizakisz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida—111181002N. Kizakisz—791112113
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261
N. Kizakisz10
LAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113WAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113WAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida1.40111181002N. Kizakisz2.65791112113LAug 20 · 10:00M. Danzer—11511113N. Kizakisz—411371LAug 20 · 06:30E. Huzsvar1.0711117113N. Kizakisz6.25581151LAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120LAug 13 · 17:30L. Qiu—1111113N. Kizakisz—7350LAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340
Upcoming Matches
S. Almeida
N. Kizakisz
Nothing scheduled
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