TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13048163
Played Aug 31Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
2.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119151310121412––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:46 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeSiddharta Almeida to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
119151310121412––
H2H Siddharta Almeida 1–0 Kirill Fadeev Kirill Fadeev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Fadeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1540 vs Fadeev 1690
Fadeev
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 60% vs Fadeev 40%
Almeida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 50% vs Fadeev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida -2 · Fadeev -3
Fadeev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fadeev) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 2.17 / Fadeev 1.62
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13048163
Almeida2.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fadeev1.62
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAlmeida1wins
AwayFadeev0wins
Almeida leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAlmeidaFadeevA − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.046.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 15 vs 98 / 14860%66.2%9 / 15 vs 98 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevAlmeida 2.17/Fadeev 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Almeida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida—111510143K. Fadeev—91312121
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:44K. Zimmermann4.331111113K. Fadeev1.204930
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