TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034062
Played Sep 1Finished
Anton Limonov
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118114911511117
Kirill Fadeev
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Limonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Limonov above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Anton Limonov at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Limonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Limonov 2033 vs Fadeev 1682
Limonov
Correct
both rated, 351 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Limonov 100% vs Fadeev 80%
Limonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Limonov 80% vs Fadeev 50%
Limonov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Limonov +5 · Fadeev +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Limonov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLimonov 1.57 / Fadeev 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Limonov)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034062
Limonov1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Fadeev2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLimonovFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 15 vs 101 / 15086.7%67.3%13 / 15 vs 101 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovLimonov 1.57/Fadeev 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Limonov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113LAug 19 · 10:20W. Koehl2.7511116113A. Limonov1.40991191
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:44K. Zimmermann4.331111113K. Fadeev1.204930
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