TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12377057
Played Aug 7Finished
Karl Zimmermann
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119113––––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarl Zimmermann above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3
49 points played in total.
H2H Karl Zimmermann 1–0 Kirill Fadeev Kirill Fadeev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 4.33 / Fadeev 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12377057
Zimmermann4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fadeev1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZimmermann1wins
AwayFadeev0wins
Zimmermann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZimmermannFadeevZ − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.037.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 36 vs 104 / 15158.3%68.9%21 / 36 vs 104 / 151Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevZimmermann 4.33/Fadeev 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zimmermann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 7 · 08:00K. Zimmermann—81113113K. Fadeev—1181171
K. Zimmermann10
LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.