TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034078
Played Aug 31Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Karl Zimmermann
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:01 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeKarl Zimmermann to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Amann above · Karl Zimmermann below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Karl Zimmermann at 64.0%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Zimmermann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Amann 1146 vs Zimmermann 1661
Zimmermann
Correct
both rated, 515 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Amann 40% vs Zimmermann 80%
Zimmermann
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 30% vs Zimmermann 90%
Zimmermann
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann -1 · Zimmermann +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 8.00 / Zimmermann 1.06
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Zimmermann)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034078
Amann8.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Zimmermann1.06
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 56 vs 24 / 4017.9%60%10 / 56 vs 24 / 40Avg sets wonper match1.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match30.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZimmermannAmann 8.00/Zimmermann 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zimmermann won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113WAug 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.281111113M. Ozdemir3.506680
K. Zimmermann10
LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622WAug 7 · 09:44K. Zimmermann4.331111113K. Fadeev1.204930
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