TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12394544
Played Aug 10Finished
Juri Grauer
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118411711––
Samuel Amann
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Amann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJuri Grauer above · Samuel Amann below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Samuel Amann at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Amann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Grauer 937 vs Amann 1130
Amann
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grauer 0% vs Amann 20%
Amann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grauer 0% vs Amann 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grauer -5 · Amann +1
Grauer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Amann)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Amann form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrauer 2.00 / Amann 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Amann)+0.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #12394544
Grauer2.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Amann1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrauerAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 20 vs 12 / 655%18.5%1 / 20 vs 12 / 65Avg sets wonper match0.51.1per matchAvg pointsper match22.730.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AmannGrauer 2.00/Amann 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Amann · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Amann won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Grauer10
LAug 11 · 08:00J. Grauer1.279950M. Ozdemir3.251111113LAug 11 · 07:30J. Grauer1.309950M. Ozdemir3.401111113LAug 10 · 14:30J. Grauer10.503940M. Danzer1.021111113LAug 10 · 09:30J. Grauer—91080M. Stefanidis—1112113LAug 10 · 08:30J. Grauer2.259430J. Willeke1.571111113LAug 10 · 06:30J. Grauer—812111172K. Waltl—1110813113LMar 17 · 09:30D. Rinderer1.031111113J. Grauer10.008450LMar 16 · 18:00K. Walter1.20111110113J. Grauer4.33731251LMar 16 · 16:30J. Grauer4.335980J. Lama1.201111113LMar 16 · 14:00J. Grauer4.339540B. Robben1.201111113
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.281111113M. Ozdemir3.506680
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