TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12394537
Played Aug 11Finished
Juri Grauer
Home
1.27
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Melih Ozdemir
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMelih Ozdemir to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
911911511––––
H2H Juri Grauer 0–2 Melih Ozdemir Juri Grauer has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:02What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Grauer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Grauer 835 vs Ozdemir 1003
Ozdemir
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grauer 0% vs Ozdemir 20%
Ozdemir
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grauer 0% vs Ozdemir 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grauer -5 · Ozdemir +1
Grauer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Grauer) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ozdemir form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrauer 1.27 / Ozdemir 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Grauer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12394537
Grauer1.27
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Ozdemir3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGrauer0wins
AwayOzdemir2wins
Ozdemir leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricGrauerOzdemirG − OBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrauerOzdemirBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 27 vs 2 / 73.7%28.6%1 / 27 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match0.40.9per matchAvg pointsper match23.621.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrauerGrauer 1.27/Ozdemir 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.9%
Grauer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ozdemir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 11 · 08:00J. Grauer—9950M. Ozdemir—1111113
LAug 11 · 07:30J. Grauer—9950M. Ozdemir—1111113
J. Grauer10
LAug 11 · 07:30J. Grauer1.309950M. Ozdemir3.401111113LAug 10 · 14:30J. Grauer10.503940M. Danzer1.021111113LAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113LAug 10 · 09:30J. Grauer—91080M. Stefanidis—1112113LAug 10 · 08:30J. Grauer2.259430J. Willeke1.571111113LAug 10 · 06:30J. Grauer—812111172K. Waltl—1110813113LMar 17 · 09:30D. Rinderer1.031111113J. Grauer10.008450LMar 16 · 18:00K. Walter1.20111110113J. Grauer4.33731251LMar 16 · 16:30J. Grauer4.335980J. Lama1.201111113LMar 16 · 14:00J. Grauer4.339540B. Robben1.201111113
M. Ozdemir10
WAug 11 · 07:30J. Grauer1.309950M. Ozdemir3.401111113LAug 11 · 07:00K. Waltl1.171112113M. Ozdemir4.5061050LAug 10 · 13:30M. Danzer1.021111113M. Ozdemir10.504680LAug 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.281111113M. Ozdemir3.506680LAug 10 · 08:30M. Stefanidis1.421111113M. Ozdemir2.703460LAug 10 · 07:00J. Willeke1.441111113M. Ozdemir2.631440LJan 3 · 08:00H. Debizhansky1.4011113113M. Ozdemir2.75661141LJan 2 · 18:30K. Zeimys1.071111113M. Ozdemir7.507750LJan 2 · 15:30D. Zech1.4011148113M. Ozdemir2.757121141LJan 2 · 14:00D. Keller1.83891411123M. Ozdemir1.831111125102
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