TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034085
Played Aug 31Finished
Mathys Gremillion
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–4Last 7Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1183114111311611
Samuel Amann
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:59 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMathys Gremillion to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMathys Gremillion above · Samuel Amann below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mathys Gremillion at 57.3%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gremillion
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Gremillion 1423 vs Amann 1126
Gremillion
Wrong
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gremillion 60% vs Amann 40%
Gremillion
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gremillion 43% vs Amann 20%
Gremillion
Wrong
23pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gremillion +3 · Amann -2
Gremillion
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Gremillion) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gremillion form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGremillion 1.36 / Amann 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Gremillion)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034085
Gremillion1.36
43%won 3 of 7 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
Amann3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGremillionAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 7 vs 9 / 5442.9%16.7%3 / 7 vs 9 / 54Avg sets wonper match1.61.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.929.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GremillionGremillion 1.36/Amann 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Gremillion · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Amann won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Gremillion10
LSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130LAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980LAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WMay 15 · 07:30M. Gremillion2.00137311113J. Lama1.73111111862WMay 14 · 16:30M. Gremillion4.501110114113M. Scharrer1.1771261132WMay 14 · 14:28M. Gremillion1.4421111113L. Dreykorn2.63119981LMay 14 · 12:30M. Danzer1.051711113M. Gremillion8.5015740
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113WAug 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.281111113M. Ozdemir3.506680
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