TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11875226
Played May 15Finished
Mathys Gremillion
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–4Last 6Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311711311118116
Jaime Lama
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMathys Gremillion above · Jaime Lama below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6
92 points played in total.
H2H Mathys Gremillion 1–0 Jaime Lama Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lama)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lama form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGremillion 2.00 / Lama 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lama)+0.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #11875226
Gremillion2.00
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
Lama1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGremillion1wins
AwayLama0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGremillion leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGremillionLamaG − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.047.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGremillionLamaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 7 vs 78 / 20342.9%38.4%3 / 7 vs 78 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.934.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LamaGremillion 2.00/Lama 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lama · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gremillion won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 15 · 07:30M. Gremillion—3J. Lama—2
M. Gremillion10
LSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130LAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980LAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113LAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113WMay 14 · 16:30M. Gremillion4.501110114113M. Scharrer1.1771261132WMay 14 · 14:28M. Gremillion1.4421111113L. Dreykorn2.63119981LMay 14 · 12:30M. Danzer1.051711113M. Gremillion8.5015740
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113
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