TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11913427
Played May 21Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511911––––
Matthias Danzer
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 0–7 Matthias Danzer Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (80%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 10.00 / Danzer 1.03
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Danzer)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11913427
Lama10.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Danzer1.03
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLama0wins
AwayDanzer7wins
Danzer leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaman = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDanzer100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama0Danzer7n = 7Danzer took 7 of 7
S2Lama1Danzer6n = 7Danzer took 6 of 7
S3Lama1Danzer6n = 7Danzer took 6 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away571%
These 7 meetings
MetricLamaDanzerL − DBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match23.435.4−12.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 215 vs 191 / 26438.6%72.4%83 / 215 vs 191 / 264Avg sets wonper match1.72.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerLama 10.00/Danzer 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.7%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 14 · 16:00J. Lama—1M. Danzer—3
LMar 16 · 10:00J. Lama—0M. Danzer—3
LJan 19 · 10:30J. Lama—0M. Danzer—3
LJan 12 · 12:00J. Lama—0M. Danzer—3
LNov 24 · 10:00J. Lama—0M. Danzer—3
LAug 18 · 12:00J. Lama—0M. Danzer—3
LAug 11 · 16:00J. Lama—1M. Danzer—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113LMay 18 · 12:30J. Lama8.505760I. Bertrand1.051111113
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
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