TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11907375
Played May 18Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
8.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711611––––
Irvin Bertrand
Away
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Irvin Bertrand below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 0–3 Irvin Bertrand Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertrand form (80%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 8.50 / Bertrand 1.05
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Bertrand)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11907375
Lama8.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Bertrand1.05
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLama0wins
AwayBertrand3wins
Bertrand leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama1Bertrand2n = 3Bertrand took 2 of 3
S2Lama0Bertrand3n = 3Bertrand took 3 of 3
S3Lama0Bertrand3n = 3Bertrand took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricLamaBertrandL − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match24.735.7−11.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaBertrandBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 206 vs 76 / 8139.3%93.8%81 / 206 vs 76 / 81Avg sets wonper match1.72.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandLama 8.50/Bertrand 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 6 · 11:00J. Lama—0I. Bertrand—3
LMar 31 · 07:00J. Lama—0I. Bertrand—3
LJan 19 · 14:00J. Lama—1I. Bertrand—3
J. Lama10
WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123LMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113LMay 19 · 06:30J. Lama8.001512681K. Fadeev1.06171011113LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama2.6391141172J. Loffler1.44116118113
I. Bertrand10
WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143WJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:30I. Bertrand1.031111113A. Moreno10.006680WJul 16 · 08:00I. Bertrand1.02111199113J. Loffler11.0097111142WJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892
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