TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217761
Played Jul 16Finished
Irvin Bertrand
Home
1.03
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116118––––
Alex Moreno
Away
10.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIrvin Bertrand above · Alex Moreno below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8
53 points played in total.
H2H Irvin Bertrand 2–0 Alex Moreno Alex Moreno has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moreno form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertrand 1.03 / Moreno 10.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Bertrand)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217761
Bertrand1.03
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Moreno10.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBertrand2wins
AwayMoreno0wins
Bertrand leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBertrandMorenoB − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.014.5+18.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertrandMorenoBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 92 vs 15 / 9895.7%15.3%88 / 92 vs 15 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.90.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.528.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandBertrand 1.03/Moreno 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 13 · 16:00I. Bertrand—1111113A. Moreno—6430
WApr 6 · 07:00I. Bertrand—1111113A. Moreno—5650
I. Bertrand10
WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143WJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 08:00I. Bertrand1.02111199113J. Loffler11.0097111142WJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
A. Moreno10
LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 08:15S. Almeida1.401111113A. Moreno2.767590LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171LAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113
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