TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12253530
Played Jul 17Finished
Irvin Bertrand
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111115611117––
Matthias Danzer
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingIrvin Bertrand above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 63 set 4, 11-7
63 points played in total.
H2H Irvin Bertrand 5–0 Matthias Danzer Matthias Danzer has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertrand 1.14 / Danzer 5.00
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Bertrand)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12253530
Bertrand1.14
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Danzer5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBertrand5wins
AwayDanzer0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBertrand leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertrand100%5 of 5
AwayDanzern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertrand5Danzer0n = 5Bertrand took 5 of 5
S2Bertrand4Danzer1n = 5Bertrand took 4 of 5
S3Bertrand2Danzer3n = 5Danzer took 3 of 5
S4Bertrand3Danzer0n = 3Bertrand took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBertrandDanzerB − DBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match40.029.0+11.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertrandDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 98 vs 187 / 24895.9%75.4%94 / 98 vs 187 / 248Avg sets wonper match2.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandBertrand 1.14/Danzer 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.4%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 16 · 14:00I. Bertrand—1111143M. Danzer—49120
WJan 19 · 18:30I. Bertrand—1191011113M. Danzer—91112832
WNov 24 · 17:30I. Bertrand—11117113M. Danzer—731161
WApr 11 · 08:45I. Bertrand—1211113M. Danzer—10860
WApr 10 · 08:00I. Bertrand—11115113M. Danzer—271161
I. Bertrand10
WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143WJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:30I. Bertrand1.031111113A. Moreno10.006680WJul 16 · 08:00I. Bertrand1.02111199113J. Loffler11.0097111142WJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860LJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143
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