TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217755
Played Jul 16Finished
Matthias Danzer
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111214––––
Irvin Bertrand
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
How it is goingMatthias Danzer above · Irvin Bertrand below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 61 set 3, 12-14
61 points played in total.
H2H Matthias Danzer 0–4 Irvin Bertrand Matthias Danzer has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertrand form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanzer 4.50 / Bertrand 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Bertrand)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217755
Danzer4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bertrand1.17
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDanzer0wins
AwayBertrand4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBertrand leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanzern = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBertrand100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danzer0Bertrand4n = 4Bertrand took 4 of 4
S2Danzer1Bertrand3n = 4Bertrand took 3 of 4
S3Danzer3Bertrand1n = 4Danzer took 3 of 4
S4Danzer0Bertrand3n = 3Bertrand took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDanzerBertrandD − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match30.041.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanzerBertrandBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 243 vs 90 / 9475.3%95.7%183 / 243 vs 90 / 94Avg sets wonper match2.62.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandDanzer 4.50/Bertrand 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJan 19 · 18:30M. Danzer—91112832I. Bertrand—1191011113
LNov 24 · 17:30M. Danzer—731161I. Bertrand—11117113
LApr 11 · 08:45M. Danzer—10860I. Bertrand—1211113
LApr 10 · 08:00M. Danzer—271161I. Bertrand—11115113
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
I. Bertrand10
WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:30I. Bertrand1.031111113A. Moreno10.006680WJul 16 · 08:00I. Bertrand1.02111199113J. Loffler11.0097111142WJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
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