TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217757
Played Jul 16Finished
Irvin Bertrand
Home
1.04
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161121210––––
Akito Itagaki
Away
9.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingIrvin Bertrand above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 52 set 3, 12-10
52 points played in total.
H2H Irvin Bertrand 2–1 Akito Itagaki Akito Itagaki has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Bertrand)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertrand 1.04 / Itagaki 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Bertrand)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217757
Bertrand1.04
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Itagaki9.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBertrand2wins
AwayItagaki1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBertrand leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertrand2Itagaki1n = 3Bertrand took 2 of 3
S2Bertrand3Itagaki0n = 3Bertrand took 3 of 3
S3Bertrand2Itagaki1n = 3Bertrand took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBertrandItagakiB − IBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.733.3+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertrandItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 93 vs 56 / 10595.7%53.3%89 / 93 vs 56 / 105Avg sets wonper match2.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandBertrand 1.04/Itagaki 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 13 · 12:30I. Bertrand—11158113A. Itagaki—6131141
WJun 25 · 06:30I. Bertrand—1111113A. Itagaki—5480
LMay 18 · 10:30I. Bertrand—81111922A. Itagaki—119711113
I. Bertrand10
WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143WJul 16 · 09:30I. Bertrand1.031111113A. Moreno10.006680WJul 16 · 08:00I. Bertrand1.02111199113J. Loffler11.0097111142WJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153LJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
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