TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12224837
Played Jul 14Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
3.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111315––––
Olav Kosolosky
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAkito Itagaki above · Olav Kosolosky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 65 set 3, 13-15
65 points played in total.
H2H Akito Itagaki 1–1 Olav Kosolosky Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kosolosky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosolosky form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 3.05 / Kosolosky 1.33
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12224837
Itagaki3.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kosolosky1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeItagaki1wins
AwayKosolosky1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricItagakiKosoloskyI − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match36.537.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiKosoloskyBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 102 vs 50 / 6952.9%72.5%54 / 102 vs 50 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyItagaki 3.05/Kosolosky 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 13 · 07:30A. Itagaki—1011117113O. Kosolosky—12671152
LJun 29 · 11:00A. Itagaki—91040O. Kosolosky—1112113
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762
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