TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217749
Played Jul 17Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
1.16
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114611711118115
Marco Stefanidis
Away
4.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
114611711118115
H2H Akito Itagaki 7–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Itagaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 1.16 / Stefanidis 4.45
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Itagaki)+11.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217749
Itagaki1.16
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Stefanidis4.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeItagaki7wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
2 of 7 to a deciderItagaki leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeItagaki100%6 of 6
AwayStefanidisn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Itagaki6Stefanidis1n = 7Itagaki took 6 of 7
S2Itagaki5Stefanidis2n = 7Itagaki took 5 of 7
S3Itagaki4Stefanidis3n = 7Itagaki took 4 of 7
S4Itagaki4Stefanidis0n = 4Itagaki took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricItagakiStefanidisI − SBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.330.6+9.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 110 vs 61 / 16552.7%37%58 / 110 vs 61 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.433.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItagakiItagaki 1.16/Stefanidis 4.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.3%
Itagaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki—116711113M. Stefanidis—41111852
WJul 13 · 09:00A. Itagaki—11611113M. Stefanidis—911831
WJun 25 · 17:30A. Itagaki—1116113M. Stefanidis—91420
WJun 8 · 10:30A. Itagaki—711911113M. Stefanidis—11711682
WMay 1 · 10:30A. Itagaki—1113113M. Stefanidis—81130
WMay 1 · 07:00A. Itagaki—1111113M. Stefanidis—6490
WOct 23 · 15:30A. Itagaki—12118113M. Stefanidis—1061181
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153LJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850
Upcoming Matches
A. Itagaki
Nothing scheduled
M. Stefanidis1 of 3 neutral
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