TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034072
Played Aug 31Finished
Marius Henninger
Home
1.31
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11313111210––––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
3.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarco Stefanidis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
11313111210––––
H2H Marius Henninger 2–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:02What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (71%)
Henninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Henninger 1589 vs Stefanidis 1545
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Henninger 40% vs Stefanidis 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Henninger 40% vs Stefanidis 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Henninger +1 · Stefanidis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Henninger form (40%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHenninger 1.31 / Stefanidis 3.20
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Henninger)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034072
Henninger1.31
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Stefanidis3.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHenninger2wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHenninger leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHenningerStefanidisH − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.032.5+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenningerStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 91 vs 72 / 18350.6%39.3%46 / 91 vs 72 / 183Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.133.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerHenninger 1.31/Stefanidis 3.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 13 · 07:30M. Henninger—1111113M. Stefanidis—7680
WJan 10 · 07:30M. Henninger—119115113M. Stefanidis—81191152
M. Henninger10
WSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640WSep 7 · 07:30M. Henninger1.61111011113V. Senkbeil2.20412891LSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130WAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431WAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113LAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161LAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 25 · 10:30M. Henninger2.90115871E. Huzsvar1.3781111113
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501
Upcoming Matches
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