TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13091003
Played Sep 7Finished
Marius Henninger
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116114––––
Siddharta Almeida
Away
3.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeMarius Henninger to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
113116114––––
H2H Marius Henninger 1–0 Siddharta Almeida Siddharta Almeida has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Henninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Henninger 1640 vs Almeida 1537
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Henninger 80% vs Almeida 40%
Henninger
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Henninger 70% vs Almeida 40%
Henninger
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Henninger +1 · Almeida -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Almeida form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHenninger 1.22 / Almeida 3.70
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Henninger)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13091003
Henninger1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Almeida3.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHenninger1wins
AwayAlmeida0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHenninger leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHenningerAlmeidaH − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.044.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenningerAlmeidaBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 97 vs 9 / 1652.6%56.3%51 / 97 vs 9 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerHenninger 1.22/Almeida 3.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.2%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 12:35M. Henninger—911411113S. Almeida—11511982
M. Henninger10
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Henninger1.61111011113V. Senkbeil2.20412891LSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130WAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431WAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100WAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113LAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161LAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 25 · 10:30M. Henninger2.90115871E. Huzsvar1.3781111113
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113
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