TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13048161
Played Aug 31Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114115411117––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:45 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeSiddharta Almeida to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
114115411117––
H2H Siddharta Almeida 0–1 Marco Stefanidis Siddharta Almeida has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:45What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stefanidis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1534 vs Stefanidis 1572
Stefanidis
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 40% vs Stefanidis 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 60% vs Stefanidis 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida -1 · Stefanidis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefanidis) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 1.85 / Stefanidis 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefanidis)+3.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #13048161
Almeida1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stefanidis1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAlmeida0wins
AwayStefanidis1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStefanidis leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAlmeidaStefanidisA − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.054.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 72 / 18160%39.8%6 / 10 vs 72 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.533.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefanidisAlmeida 1.85/Stefanidis 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefanidis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Almeida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 19 · 14:00S. Almeida—13681292M. Stefanidis—11111110113
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501
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