TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034087
Played Aug 31Finished
Anton Limonov
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:59 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeAnton Limonov to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
117118115––––
H2H Anton Limonov 1–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Limonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Limonov 2059 vs Stefanidis 1527
Limonov
Correct
both rated, 533 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Limonov 40% vs Stefanidis 20%
Limonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Limonov 60% vs Stefanidis 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Limonov +1 · Stefanidis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Limonov) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLimonov 1.50 / Stefanidis 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Limonov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034087
Limonov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Stefanidis2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLimonov1wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
Limonov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLimonovStefanidisL − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLimonovStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 17 vs 69 / 18088.2%38.3%15 / 17 vs 69 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match41.133.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovLimonov 1.50/Stefanidis 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Limonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov—1111113M. Stefanidis—7850
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113LAug 19 · 10:20W. Koehl2.7511116113A. Limonov1.40991191
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880LAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501
Upcoming Matches
A. Limonov
Nothing scheduled
M. Stefanidis1 of 4 neutral
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