TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034073
Played Aug 31Finished
Anton Limonov
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Mathys Gremillion
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMathys Gremillion to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Limonov above · Mathys Gremillion below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Mathys Gremillion at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:02What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Limonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Limonov 2008 vs Gremillion 1277
Limonov
Correct
both rated, 731 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Limonov 80% vs Gremillion 40%
Limonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Limonov 60% vs Gremillion 30%
Limonov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Limonov +4 · Gremillion -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Limonov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gremillion form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLimonov 1.17 / Gremillion 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Limonov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034073
Limonov1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gremillion4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLimonovGremillionBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 9 vs 3 / 777.8%42.9%7 / 9 vs 3 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match42.334.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovLimonov 1.17/Gremillion 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Limonov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113LAug 19 · 10:20W. Koehl2.7511116113A. Limonov1.40991191
M. Gremillion10
LSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130LAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113LAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113WMay 15 · 07:30M. Gremillion2.00137311113J. Lama1.73111111862WMay 14 · 16:30M. Gremillion4.501110114113M. Scharrer1.1771261132WMay 14 · 14:28M. Gremillion1.4421111113L. Dreykorn2.63119981LMay 14 · 12:30M. Danzer1.051711113M. Gremillion8.5015740
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.