TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin QualsMatch #12456651
Played Aug 19Finished
William Koehl
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119611119––
Anton Limonov
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWilliam Koehl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWilliam Koehl above · Anton Limonov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held William Koehl at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:30What took a side0 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Limonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Koehl 40% vs Limonov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koehl 20% vs Limonov 70%
Limonov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koehl -2 · Limonov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Limonov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Limonov form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoehl 2.75 / Limonov 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Limonov)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Quals · #12456651
Koehl2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Limonov1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoehlLimonovBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 7 / 1020%70%2 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.12.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovKoehl 2.75/Limonov 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koehl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
W. Koehl10
LAug 21 · 10:20W. Koehl2.383540T. Schweiger1.531111113WAug 20 · 14:30W. Koehl1.671111113T. Tseng2.106780WAug 20 · 10:20T. Preechayan2.5091410101W. Koehl1.50111212123LMay 22 · 17:00W. Verdonschot1.061111113W. Koehl6.753670LMay 21 · 15:45G. Park1.041111133W. Koehl9.0076110WMay 20 · 14:00R. Brard1.141115961W. Koehl5.0051711113WMay 20 · 08:05C. Kraemer5.009940W. Koehl1.141111113LDec 2 · 09:00K. Walter1.531211113W. Koehl2.3810840LDec 2 · 08:00W. Koehl2.1051111792T. Falconnier1.67117211113LDec 1 · 16:30P. Koloidenko2.6311411113W. Koehl1.44711751
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113
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