TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034067
Played Aug 31Finished
Anton Limonov
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119911115––
Karl Zimmermann
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:03 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeKarl Zimmermann to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Limonov above · Karl Zimmermann below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Karl Zimmermann at 59.7%
73 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:03What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Limonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Limonov 2015 vs Zimmermann 1659
Limonov
Correct
both rated, 355 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Limonov 100% vs Zimmermann 80%
Limonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Limonov 70% vs Zimmermann 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Limonov +5 · Zimmermann -1
Limonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Limonov) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLimonov 1.30 / Zimmermann 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Limonov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034067
Limonov1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Zimmermann3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLimonovZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 14 vs 26 / 4385.7%60.5%12 / 14 vs 26 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.935.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovLimonov 1.30/Zimmermann 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Limonov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113LAug 19 · 10:20W. Koehl2.7511116113A. Limonov1.40991191
K. Zimmermann10
LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622WAug 7 · 09:44K. Zimmermann4.331111113K. Fadeev1.204930
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