TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13034081
Played Aug 31Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811711711––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:00 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeMarco Stefanidis to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
115811711711––
H2H Samuel Amann 0–6 Marco Stefanidis Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Stefanidis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Stefanidis
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Amann 1148 vs Stefanidis 1570
Stefanidis
Correct
both rated, 421 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Amann 60% vs Stefanidis 20%
Amann
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 30% vs Stefanidis 50%
Stefanidis
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann +1 · Stefanidis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stefanidis) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 2.10 / Stefanidis 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Stefanidis)+1.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #13034081
Amann2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Stefanidis1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAmann0wins
AwayStefanidis6wins
Stefanidis leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAmannn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayStefanidis100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Amann0Stefanidis6n = 6Stefanidis took 6 of 6
S2Amann4Stefanidis2n = 6Amann took 4 of 6
S3Amann0Stefanidis6n = 6Stefanidis took 6 of 6
S4Amann0Stefanidis4n = 4Stefanidis took 4 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricAmannStefanidisA − SBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match28.237.2−9.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 55 vs 71 / 18018.2%39.4%10 / 55 vs 71 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match30.233.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefanidisAmann 2.10/Stefanidis 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Stefanidis · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 10 · 14:00S. Amann—811891M. Stefanidis—11611113
LSep 25 · 17:30S. Amann—311471M. Stefanidis—11411113
LSep 11 · 17:30S. Amann—211771M. Stefanidis—11911113
LJul 28 · 10:00S. Amann—511761M. Stefanidis—11311113
LJun 23 · 14:00S. Amann—81080M. Stefanidis—1112113
LJun 5 · 12:00S. Amann—61190M. Stefanidis—1113113
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113WAug 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.281111113M. Ozdemir3.506680
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880WAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891
Upcoming Matches
S. Amann
Nothing scheduled
M. Stefanidis1 of 4 neutral
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