TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12217969
Played Jul 16Finished
Damian Zech
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111311811––
Akito Itagaki
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDamian Zech above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 82 set 4, 8-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Damian Zech 1–3 Akito Itagaki Damian Zech has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Itagaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZech 4.33 / Itagaki 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Itagaki)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12217969
Zech4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Itagaki1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZech1wins
AwayItagaki3wins
Itagaki leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZechn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayItagaki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zech0Itagaki4n = 4Itagaki took 4 of 4
S2Zech1Itagaki3n = 4Itagaki took 3 of 4
S3Zech2Itagaki2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricZechItagakiZ − IBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match30.034.0−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZechItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 208 vs 55 / 10425.5%52.9%53 / 208 vs 55 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItagakiZech 4.33/Itagaki 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Itagaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 25 · 13:00D. Zech—101111113A. Itagaki—126431
LApr 30 · 14:30D. Zech—621161A. Itagaki—11118113
LOct 30 · 12:30D. Zech—71190A. Itagaki—1113113
LOct 23 · 09:00D. Zech—11860A. Itagaki—1311113
D. Zech10
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153LJul 14 · 09:13I. Bertrand1.051011118113A. Itagaki8.5012481122
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