TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13091002
Played Sep 7Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
4.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911911611––
Marius Henninger
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMarius Henninger to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
116911911611––
H2H Marco Stefanidis 0–3 Marius Henninger Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (80%)
Henninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Henninger
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1502 vs Henninger 1652
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 20% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 30% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis -3 · Henninger +2
Stefanidis
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 4.70 / Henninger 1.14
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Henninger)+2.8pp
Challenger Series TT · #13091002
Stefanidis4.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Henninger1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStefanidis0wins
AwayHenninger3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHenninger leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefanidisn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHenninger100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefanidis0Henninger3n = 3Henninger took 3 of 3
S2Stefanidis1Henninger2n = 3Henninger took 2 of 3
S3Stefanidis0Henninger3n = 3Henninger took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricStefanidisHenningerS − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.738.7−9.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisHenningerBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 172 vs 52 / 9838.4%53.1%66 / 172 vs 52 / 98Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerStefanidis 4.70/Henninger 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.3%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 31 · 14:30M. Stefanidis—311100M. Henninger—1113123
LOct 13 · 07:30M. Stefanidis—7680M. Henninger—1111113
LJan 10 · 07:30M. Stefanidis—81191152M. Henninger—119115113
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880
M. Henninger10
WSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640WSep 7 · 07:30M. Henninger1.61111011113V. Senkbeil2.20412891LSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 07:30M. Henninger1.071113113M. Gremillion7.5041130WAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431WAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100WAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113LAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161LAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113
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