TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12412188
Played Aug 13Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.05
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115117––––
Manuel Kupfer
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Manuel Kupfer below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 66.8%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 2004 vs Kupfer 1153
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 851 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 100% vs Kupfer 0%
Kosolosky
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 100% vs Kupfer 20%
Kosolosky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +5 · Kupfer -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kupfer form (0%) is below what odds imply (12%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.05 / Kupfer 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412188
Kosolosky1.05
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Kupfer8.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyKupferBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 80 vs 7 / 4076.3%17.5%61 / 80 vs 7 / 40Avg sets wonper match2.51.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.431.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.05/Kupfer 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosolosky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762WAug 13 · 08:30O. Kosolosky2.751113113D. Cheaib1.4081130
M. Kupfer10
WAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113LAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950LAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123LAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860LAug 24 · 07:30M. Henninger1.0811111011163M. Kupfer7.00713126142LAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171LAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:00M. Kupfer—121111552N. Kizakisz—1013711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.