TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12480614
Played Aug 24Finished
Manuel Kupfer
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911311711––––
Viktor Yefimov
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 78.9% is still 78.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Yefimov to win
78.9%
78.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManuel Kupfer above · Viktor Yefimov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Viktor Yefimov at 78.9%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Yefimov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kupfer 1178 vs Yefimov 2015
Yefimov
Correct
both rated, 837 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kupfer 20% vs Yefimov 80%
Yefimov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kupfer 10% vs Yefimov 90%
Yefimov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kupfer +1 · Yefimov +3
Yefimov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Yefimov) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKupfer 4.50 / Yefimov 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Yefimov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12480614
Kupfer4.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yefimov1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKupferYefimovBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 45 vs 57 / 6517.8%87.7%8 / 45 vs 57 / 65Avg sets wonper match1.22.7per matchAvg pointsper match31.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YefimovKupfer 4.50/Yefimov 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Yefimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yefimov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kupfer10
WAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113LAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950LAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123WAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860LAug 24 · 07:30M. Henninger1.0811111011163M. Kupfer7.00713126142LAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171LAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570LAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:00M. Kupfer—121111552N. Kizakisz—1013711113
V. Yefimov10
WAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:15V. Yefimov1.101111113M. Henninger6.506780WAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 14:30M. Henninger4.5011780V. Yefimov1.171311113WAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 10:00J. Willeke4.506650V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113LJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:44V. Yefimov1.40391111113O. Kosolosky2.7511118682
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