TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12480620
Played Aug 24Finished
Johannes Willeke
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Viktor Yefimov
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Yefimov to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJohannes Willeke above · Viktor Yefimov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Yefimov at 60.7%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Yefimov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Willeke 1355 vs Yefimov 2014
Yefimov
Correct
both rated, 658 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Willeke 20% vs Yefimov 80%
Yefimov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Willeke 50% vs Yefimov 80%
Yefimov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Willeke -1 · Yefimov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Yefimov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWilleke 4.50 / Yefimov 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Yefimov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12480620
Willeke4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Yefimov1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWillekeYefimovBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 39 vs 55 / 6328.2%87.3%11 / 39 vs 55 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.42.7per matchAvg pointsper match30.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YefimovWilleke 4.50/Yefimov 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Yefimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yefimov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Willeke10
LAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:30M. Henninger1.301111113J. Willeke3.407760LAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 13:30J. Willeke3.758111171E. Huzsvar1.2211139113LAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 09:15M. Stefanidis—9101111113J. Willeke—11128252LAug 11 · 08:30J. Willeke6.70811531M. Danzer1.0511711113LAug 11 · 08:00J. Willeke8.00811531M. Danzer1.0611711113
V. Yefimov10
WAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:15V. Yefimov1.101111113M. Henninger6.506780WAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 14:30M. Henninger4.5011780V. Yefimov1.171311113WAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113LJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892WJul 14 · 09:44V. Yefimov1.40391111113O. Kosolosky2.7511118682
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