TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12402460
Played Aug 11Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
No price at publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111012118112115
Johannes Willeke
Away
No price at publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMarco Stefanidis to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012118112115
H2H Marco Stefanidis 2–1 Johannes Willeke Johannes Willeke has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
No price
—
No value
no price published for this match
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1515 vs Willeke 1366
Stefanidis
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 100% vs Willeke 40%
Stefanidis
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 70% vs Willeke 40%
Stefanidis
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis +5 · Willeke -2
Stefanidis
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stefanidis)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
No odds data available
Challenger Series TT · #12402460
Stefanidis
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Willeke
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStefanidis2wins
AwayWilleke1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStefanidis leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefanidis66.7%2 of 3
AwayWilleken = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefanidis3Willeke0n = 3Stefanidis took 3 of 3
S2Stefanidis1Willeke2n = 3Willeke took 2 of 3
S3Stefanidis1Willeke2n = 3Willeke took 2 of 3
S4Stefanidis1Willeke2n = 3Willeke took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStefanidisWillekeS − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.042.7+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisWillekeBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 169 vs 11 / 3738.5%29.7%65 / 169 vs 11 / 37Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.530.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefanidisRead onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Stefanidis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 10 · 11:00M. Stefanidis—1181110113J. Willeke—81171252
WJun 1 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—111112153J. Willeke—7914131
LJan 9 · 12:30M. Stefanidis—1110771J. Willeke—81211113
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 14 · 10:30M. Stefanidis—1111113M. Neumaier—9880
J. Willeke10
LAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:30M. Henninger1.301111113J. Willeke3.407760LAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 13:30J. Willeke3.758111171E. Huzsvar1.2211139113LAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 10:00J. Willeke4.506650V. Yefimov1.171111113LAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 08:30J. Willeke6.70811531M. Danzer1.0511711113LAug 11 · 08:00J. Willeke8.00811531M. Danzer1.0611711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Stefanidis1 of 4 neutral
J. Willeke
Nothing scheduled
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