TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12480606
Played Aug 24Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Manuel Kupfer
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timePylyp Koloidenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Manuel Kupfer below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Pylyp Koloidenko at 68.9%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kupfer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Koloidenko 1379 vs Kupfer 1175
Koloidenko
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koloidenko 20% vs Kupfer 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koloidenko 30% vs Kupfer 10%
Koloidenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koloidenko +1 · Kupfer -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kupfer) · live re-read · sealed at 31% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kupfer form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 2.00 / Kupfer 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kupfer)+0.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #12480606
Koloidenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kupfer1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoKupferBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 164 vs 8 / 4731.7%17%52 / 164 vs 8 / 47Avg sets wonper match1.51.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.331.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KupferKoloidenko 2.00/Kupfer 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kupfer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koloidenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113LApr 16 · 16:00P. Koloidenko7.5091351162D. Rinderer1.071111114113WApr 16 · 12:30P. Koloidenko1.6111412123D. Zech2.2081110101
M. Kupfer10
WAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113LAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123LAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860LAug 24 · 07:30M. Henninger1.0811111011163M. Kupfer7.00713126142LAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171LAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570LAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113LAug 13 · 13:00M. Kupfer—121111552N. Kizakisz—1013711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.