TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11752276
Played Apr 17Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117113––––
Alex Moreno
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Alex Moreno below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3
54 points played in total.
H2H Pylyp Koloidenko 3–0 Alex Moreno Alex Moreno has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 93% — Strong (leans Koloidenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moreno form (0%) is below what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 1.08 / Moreno 7.00
Signal prob.93% / 7%
Edge (Koloidenko)+6.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #11752276
Koloidenko1.08
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Moreno7.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKoloidenko3wins
AwayMoreno0wins
Koloidenko leads 3–0.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koloidenko2Moreno1n = 3Koloidenko took 2 of 3
S2Koloidenko3Moreno0n = 3Koloidenko took 3 of 3
S3Koloidenko2Moreno1n = 3Koloidenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKoloidenkoMorenoK − MBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.334.7+7.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoMorenoBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 238 vs 9 / 6730.3%13.4%72 / 238 vs 9 / 67Avg sets wonper match1.40.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.628.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoloidenkoKoloidenko 1.08/Moreno 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.9%
Koloidenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koloidenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
W—P. Koloidenko—0A. Moreno—3
W—P. Koloidenko—3A. Moreno—2
W—P. Koloidenko—1A. Moreno—3
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113LApr 16 · 16:00P. Koloidenko7.5091351162D. Rinderer1.071111114113WApr 16 · 12:30P. Koloidenko1.6111412123D. Zech2.2081110101
A. Moreno10
LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 08:15S. Almeida1.401111113A. Moreno2.767590LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171LAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113
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