TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11752172
Played Apr 16Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11841112101210––
Damian Zech
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-7
Point 46 set 3, 5-7
46 points drawn · the score is 32 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Pylyp Koloidenko 4–3 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Koloidenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 1.61 / Zech 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Koloidenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11752172
Koloidenko1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zech2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKoloidenko4wins
AwayZech3wins
Koloidenko leads 4–3.
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koloidenko5Zech2n = 7Koloidenko took 5 of 7
S2Koloidenko6Zech1n = 7Koloidenko took 6 of 7
S3Koloidenko2Zech5n = 7Zech took 5 of 7
S4Koloidenko4Zech2n = 6Koloidenko took 4 of 6
S5Koloidenko1Zech3n = 4Zech took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKoloidenkoZechK − ZBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match44.139.9+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoZechBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 235 vs 57 / 27530.2%20.7%71 / 235 vs 57 / 275Avg sets wonper match1.41.2per matchAvg pointsper match32.531.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoloidenkoKoloidenko 1.61/Zech 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Koloidenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koloidenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—2
W—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—0
W—P. Koloidenko—1D. Zech—3
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—2
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—2
W—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—1
W—P. Koloidenko—3D. Zech—2
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113LApr 16 · 16:00P. Koloidenko7.5091351162D. Rinderer1.071111114113
D. Zech10
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871WAug 13 · 14:30D. Zech—1111113N. Kizakisz—2340LAug 13 · 12:30D. Cheaib1.01111110113D. Zech15.00971271
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