TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11752229
Played Apr 16Finished
Pylyp Koloidenko
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111311511114611
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPylyp Koloidenko above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Pylyp Koloidenko 0–5 Daniel Rinderer Pylyp Koloidenko has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (60%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoloidenko 7.50 / Rinderer 1.07
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Rinderer)-5.4pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11752229
Koloidenko7.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Rinderer1.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKoloidenko0wins
AwayRinderer5wins
Rinderer leads 5–0.
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koloidenko1Rinderer4n = 5Rinderer took 4 of 5
S2Koloidenko1Rinderer4n = 5Rinderer took 4 of 5
S3Koloidenko2Rinderer3n = 5Rinderer took 3 of 5
S4Koloidenko0Rinderer3n = 3Rinderer took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKoloidenkoRindererK − RBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match29.439.2−9.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoloidenkoRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 235 vs 118 / 17930.2%65.9%71 / 235 vs 118 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match32.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererKoloidenko 7.50/Rinderer 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.1%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rinderer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Rinderer—0
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Rinderer—1
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Rinderer—1
L—P. Koloidenko—3D. Rinderer—2
L—P. Koloidenko—0D. Rinderer—3
P. Koloidenko10
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Koloidenko5.106560E. Huzsvar1.121111113WAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950WAug 24 · 15:00P. Koloidenko2.00471611123J. Willeke1.731111146102LAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113LAug 24 · 10:30P. Koloidenko4.50611771M. Henninger1.1711811113LAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113WApr 17 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.081211113A. Moreno7.0010730LApr 17 · 06:30P. Koloidenko2.1011111131Y. Rebetez1.6713136113WApr 16 · 12:30P. Koloidenko1.6111412123D. Zech2.2081110101
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.