TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12463944
Played Aug 20Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
3.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111177111151210
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Rinderer to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
8111177111151210
H2H Siddharta Almeida 1–2 Daniel Rinderer Siddharta Almeida has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Rinderer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1493 vs Rinderer 1824
Rinderer
Wrong
both rated, 331 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 20% vs Rinderer 100%
Rinderer
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 20% vs Rinderer 100%
Rinderer
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida -3 · Rinderer +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Rinderer) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 3.60 / Rinderer 1.25
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Rinderer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12463944
Almeida3.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Rinderer1.25
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAlmeida1wins
AwayRinderer2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderRinderer leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAlmeidan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayRinderer66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Almeida0Rinderer3n = 3Rinderer took 3 of 3
S2Almeida2Rinderer1n = 3Almeida took 2 of 3
S3Almeida2Rinderer1n = 3Almeida took 2 of 3
S4Almeida1Rinderer2n = 3Rinderer took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAlmeidaRindererA − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match41.046.7−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 8 vs 124 / 17862.5%69.7%5 / 8 vs 124 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererAlmeida 3.60/Rinderer 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.2%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Almeida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 21 · 10:30S. Almeida—4101261D. Rinderer—111210113
WAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida—811711123D. Rinderer—117115102
LMay 29 · 10:00S. Almeida—71211662D. Rinderer—1110911113
S. Almeida10
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640LSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630WAug 31 · 16:00S. Almeida—981111113M. Gremillion—11116882LAug 31 · 12:35S. Almeida—11511982M. Henninger—911411113WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171LAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121LAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680WJul 24 · 11:00D. Rinderer—1112113J. Loffler—81070
Upcoming Matches
S. Almeida1 of 4 neutral
D. Rinderer
Nothing scheduled
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