Matthias Danzer vs Daniel Rinderer 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #12469362

Played Aug 21Finished

Matthias Danzer

Home

1.30

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

11612101715––––

Daniel Rinderer

Away

3.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMatthias Danzer above · Daniel Rinderer below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 17-15

Point 71 set 3, 17-15

71 points played in total.

H2H Matthias Danzer 6–5 Daniel Rinderer Daniel Rinderer has won 5 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Danzer)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rinderer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDanzer 1.30 / Rinderer 3.10

Signal prob.71% / 30%

Edge (Danzer)+0.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #12469362

Danzer1.30

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

Rinderer3.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDanzer6wins

AwayRinderer4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderDanzer leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDanzer75%6 of 8

AwayRinderern = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Danzer8Rinderer2n = 10Danzer took 8 of 10

S2Danzer3Rinderer7n = 10Rinderer took 7 of 10

S3Danzer8Rinderer2n = 10Danzer took 8 of 10

S4Danzer5Rinderer2n = 7Danzer took 5 of 7

S5Danzer0Rinderer3n = 3Rinderer took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDanzerRindererD − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.4+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDanzerRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 264 vs 123 / 17674.6%69.9%197 / 264 vs 123 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Danzer

Danzer 1.30/Rinderer 3.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

70.5%

Danzer · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Danzer won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer—1111113D. Rinderer—6890

LJul 20 · 09:30M. Danzer—6760D. Rinderer—1111113

WMay 22 · 10:00M. Danzer—11912163D. Rinderer—51110141

WMay 21 · 13:00M. Danzer—11411113D. Rinderer—811361

LApr 9 · 08:30M. Danzer—114123112D. Rinderer—6111011133

LMar 17 · 12:00M. Danzer—10111211112D. Rinderer—126149133

WMar 16 · 13:30M. Danzer—11811113D. Rinderer—511781

WSep 15 · 12:00M. Danzer—141111113D. Rinderer—1213861

LAug 19 · 11:00M. Danzer—116111062D. Rinderer—811712113

WAug 18 · 09:30M. Danzer—1111113D. Rinderer—9980

M. Danzer10

LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762 WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161 WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113 LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113 WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113 WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113 WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191 WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860 WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860 WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140

D. Rinderer10

WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261 WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113 LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113 WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113 LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890 WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113 WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113 LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102 WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680 WJul 24 · 11:00D. Rinderer—1112113J. Loffler—81070

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